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How is the property market forecast in Johannesburg?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the South Africa Property Pack

property investment Johannesburg

Yes, the analysis of Johannesburg's property market is included in our pack

Johannesburg's property market is showing clear signs of recovery with a 6% price increase over the past 12 months, reaching an average of ZAR 1.5 million as of September 2025.

The city's residential property sales volumes have rebounded from a six-year low, rising from 32,000 transactions in 2023 to nearly 35,000 in 2024, reflecting renewed buyer confidence and market momentum driven by improved mortgage affordability and infrastructure development.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in South Africa, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At TheAfricanvestor, we explore the South African real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Johannesburg, Cape Town, and Durban. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What's the current average property price in Johannesburg, and how has it changed in the past 12 months?

The average property price in Johannesburg currently sits at ZAR 1.5 million as of September 2025.

This represents a solid 6% increase over the past 12 months, signaling a clear recovery in the Johannesburg residential market after several years of stagnation. The price growth reflects renewed buyer confidence and improved market conditions following economic uncertainties.

Top-performing suburbs like Midrand and Braamfontein have experienced even stronger appreciation, with some areas seeing 40-45% price growth over the past five years. This growth has been driven primarily by infrastructure development, improved connectivity, and renewed investor interest in previously undervalued areas.

The current pricing level positions Johannesburg competitively within South Africa's major metropolitan markets, offering better value compared to Cape Town's average of ZAR 1.8 million while commanding a premium over Durban's ZAR 1.1 million average.

It's something we develop in our South Africa property pack.

How many residential properties were sold in Johannesburg last year compared to the year before?

Johannesburg's residential property market recorded approximately 35,000 transactions in 2024, marking a significant recovery from the previous year.

This represents a notable 9.4% increase from 2023, when the market hit a six-year low with only 32,000 residential property sales. The 2024 figures demonstrate clear momentum building in the market, driven by improved mortgage affordability and renewed buyer confidence.

While the 2024 transaction volume remains below the pre-pandemic peak of 37,000 sales recorded in 2019, the upward trajectory indicates that the market is steadily recovering. The increase in sales activity has been particularly pronounced in the northern suburbs and areas benefiting from infrastructure upgrades.

This recovery in transaction volumes aligns with improved economic conditions, reduced interest rates, and a more stable political environment that has encouraged both local and foreign buyers to re-enter the market.

What's the annual growth rate of property prices in Johannesburg over the past five years?

Johannesburg's property market has delivered strong appreciation over the past five years, with top-performing suburbs achieving 40-45% total growth during this period.

The annual growth rate has varied significantly by area, with infrastructure-driven suburbs like Midrand, northern Johannesburg, and revitalized inner-city areas like Braamfontein leading the appreciation. The city-wide average shows approximately 6% annual growth as of 2025, reflecting the market's current momentum.

The growth pattern hasn't been linear - prices experienced some softening in 2024 but maintained an overall upward trajectory since 2020. Areas with new infrastructure projects, improved security measures, and proximity to business hubs have consistently outperformed the market average.

This five-year appreciation rate positions Johannesburg favorably against other major South African cities, offering investors solid capital growth potential while maintaining more accessible entry prices compared to Cape Town's premium market.

How do rental yields in Johannesburg compare today versus five years ago?

Johannesburg's rental yields have strengthened considerably, with current average yields reaching 11.38% citywide as of September 2025.

Property Type/Area Current Rental Yield (2025) Yield Range
City-wide Average 11.38% Standard benchmark
Premium Apartments 9.15% Lower end of range
High-Demand Areas Up to 16.37% Top performing locations
Northern Suburbs 10-12% Stable family areas
Inner City Developments 12-15% Young professional market
Student Accommodation Areas 14-16% Near universities
Commercial Nodes 11-13% Business district proximity

Five years ago, rental yields were generally lower across the board, with many areas struggling to achieve double-digit returns. The improvement reflects stronger rental demand, more balanced supply conditions, and increased investor confidence in the buy-to-let market.

What's the current vacancy rate for both residential and commercial properties in Johannesburg?

Current specific vacancy rate data for Johannesburg's residential and commercial sectors is limited in available market reports, but indicators suggest a significant improvement from previous oversupply conditions.

The residential market has shifted from an oversupply situation to a more balanced state, implying lower vacancy rates compared to the stagnation years. This improvement is evidenced by the 9.4% increase in property sales and stronger rental yields, indicating healthy demand-supply dynamics.

Market reports indicate that areas with new infrastructure development and improved connectivity are experiencing particularly low vacancy rates. The northern suburbs, Midrand, and revitalized inner-city areas are showing strong absorption rates for new developments.

The commercial property sector has also benefited from improved business confidence and economic stability, though specific vacancy statistics require access to specialized commercial property reports for precise figures.

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How do interest rates in South Africa affect mortgage affordability for Johannesburg buyers right now?

South Africa's current prime interest rate of 11% has significantly improved mortgage affordability for Johannesburg property buyers compared to recent years.

The recent reduction in interest rates has made property financing more accessible, directly contributing to the 9.4% increase in residential property sales in 2024. This improved affordability has particularly benefited first-time buyers and young families looking to enter the property market.

At 11%, the prime rate allows for more manageable monthly mortgage payments, with many buyers now qualifying for higher loan amounts than they could access when rates were higher. Banks have also relaxed their lending conditions somewhat, supporting the increased buyer activity observed in the market.

The improved affordability has been a key driver behind the market recovery, enabling more buyers to qualify for mortgages and encouraging existing homeowners to consider upgrading or investing in additional properties.

What percentage of Johannesburg buyers are first-time homeowners, and how has that shifted in recent years?

While specific percentage data for first-time homeowners in Johannesburg is not available in current market reports, market indicators suggest increased activity among this demographic.

The improved affordability conditions, combined with reduced interest rates and stabilized property prices, have encouraged more first-time buyers to enter the market. This is particularly evident in affordable and mid-market areas where young families and first-time buyers are most active.

Banks and real estate agents report higher enquiry levels from first-time buyers, especially in areas like northern suburbs, Randburg, and Fourways, where infrastructure improvements have made properties more attractive and accessible.

The trend toward first-time buyer activity is supported by government housing initiatives and improved lending conditions, though detailed demographic breakdowns require access to specialized market research for precise figures.

How many new housing developments are planned or under construction in Johannesburg in the next two years?

Exact numbers for new housing developments planned or under construction in Johannesburg over the next two years are not specified in current market reports.

However, significant development activity is concentrated in the northern suburbs, including Midrand, Randburg, and Fourways, areas that are benefiting from major infrastructure upgrades and improved connectivity. These developments are primarily targeting the growing demand from young families and professionals.

The development focus appears to be on mixed-use projects that combine residential, retail, and office components, reflecting modern urban planning trends and buyer preferences for integrated lifestyle communities.

Infrastructure-driven growth areas are seeing the most development activity, with projects designed to capitalize on improved transport links, business node proximity, and enhanced security features that modern buyers prioritize.

What's the unemployment rate in Johannesburg, and how is it linked to property demand?

Specific unemployment rate data for Johannesburg is not included in current property market reports, but economic indicators suggest improvement in employment conditions.

The market recovery evidenced by the 9.4% increase in property transactions during 2024 suggests that buyer confidence is rising alongside broader economic improvement. This correlation typically indicates better employment conditions and increased disposable income among potential property buyers.

The growth in property sales, combined with stronger rental yields and improved mortgage affordability, points to a more stable employment environment that supports housing demand. Areas with proximity to business hubs and commercial nodes are showing particularly strong activity.

Economic stability and improved business confidence have contributed to the property market recovery, though detailed employment statistics require access to official government labor force surveys for precise figures.

infographics rental yields citiesJohannesburg

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in South Africa versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

How do foreign investments in Johannesburg's property market compare to local investments in terms of volume?

Direct comparison figures between foreign and local property investment volumes in Johannesburg are not available in current market reports.

However, the market is described as offering good value and strong rental yields, making it attractive to both local and foreign buyers. The current average price of ZAR 1.5 million represents accessible entry points for international investors compared to other major African cities.

Foreign investment interest is likely supported by the favorable exchange rate, strong rental yields averaging 11.38%, and the potential for capital appreciation in infrastructure-driven areas. The market recovery and increased transaction volumes suggest renewed international confidence.

Areas like northern suburbs and revitalized inner-city districts are typically more attractive to foreign investors due to better security, infrastructure, and potential for appreciation, though specific investment origin data requires specialized foreign investment tracking reports.

What's the forecasted population growth in Johannesburg over the next decade, and how will it drive housing demand?

Specific population growth projections for Johannesburg over the next decade are not detailed in current property market sources.

However, the city continues to attract strong housing demand, supported by infrastructure-driven growth in key suburbs and its position as South Africa's economic hub. The sustained interest in northern suburbs development suggests confidence in long-term population growth and housing demand.

Johannesburg's role as the country's financial and business center continues to draw migration from other regions, supporting ongoing housing demand across various market segments from affordable housing to premium developments.

The positive long-term forecasts reflected in current development activity and investor interest suggest that housing demand will remain robust, particularly in well-connected areas with good infrastructure and security features.

It's something we develop in our South Africa property pack.

How do Johannesburg's property price forecasts compare with other major South African cities like Cape Town and Durban?

Johannesburg's current average property price of ZAR 1.5 million positions it strategically between Cape Town and Durban in South Africa's major metropolitan markets.

City Average Property Price Value Proposition
Cape Town ZAR 1.8 million Premium market, limited growth potential
Johannesburg ZAR 1.5 million Best value with growth potential
Durban ZAR 1.1 million Most affordable, slower growth
Johannesburg Growth +6% (12 months) Strong momentum
Rental Yield Advantage 11.38% average Superior investment returns
Market Recovery Stage Active rebound Optimal entry timing
Infrastructure Investment High in northern areas Future growth catalyst

The current growth trajectory and recovery momentum suggest Johannesburg offers better investment value compared to other major South African cities. While Cape Town commands premium prices, Johannesburg provides more accessible entry points with stronger growth potential and superior rental yields.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. The African Investor - Average House Price in Johannesburg
  2. The African Investor - Johannesburg Property Market Trends
  3. REI - Mixed Fortunes for Johannesburg's Residential Property Market
  4. PropertyWheel - Joburg's Quickest Selling Suburbs
  5. Global Property Guide - South Africa Price History
  6. Pam Golding - Bright Outlook for Housing Market
  7. The African Investor - Average House Price South Africa
  8. Property24 - Johannesburg Property Trends