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Are Addis Ababa property prices going up in 2025?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Ethiopia Property Pack

property investment Addis Ababa

Yes, the analysis of Addis Ababa's property market is included in our pack

Property prices in Addis Ababa are experiencing steady growth as we reach mid-2025, with average annual increases of 7-10% in prime areas.

The Ethiopian capital's real estate market remains one of Africa's most expensive by price-to-income ratio, driven by rapid urbanization, diaspora investment, and a severe housing supply shortage. With prime properties in Bole and Kazanchis now commanding $1,500-$2,000 per square meter, understanding current price trends has become crucial for both investors and potential homeowners navigating this complex market.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Ethiopia, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At TheAfricanvestor, we explore the Ethiopian real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Addis Ababa, Dire Dawa, and Mekelle. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What are the current average property prices per square meter in Addis Ababa as of June 2025?

Property prices in Addis Ababa have reached historic highs, with prime areas commanding $1,500-$2,000 per square meter as we reach mid-2025.

In established neighborhoods like Bole, Old Airport, and Kazanchis, residential properties are trading at the upper end of this range, while emerging areas such as CMC, Summit, and Ayat offer more affordable options between $800-$1,500 per square meter. The citywide average home price stands at approximately 15.9 million ETB ($124,000 at current exchange rates), though luxury properties in premium locations frequently exceed 120 million ETB.

One-bedroom apartments in high-end areas average 9.7 million ETB, while two-bedroom units command around 17.7 million ETB, and three-bedroom properties reach 22.6 million ETB. These prices represent a significant premium compared to other Ethiopian cities, with Addis Ababa maintaining its position as the country's most expensive real estate market.

Commercial properties show equally strong valuations, with prime office spaces in central business districts renting for $20-30 per square meter per month. In high-traffic commercial zones like Addis Ketema, monthly rents can exceed 22,500 ETB per square meter for retail spaces.

It's something we develop in our Ethiopia property pack.

How much have property prices increased in Addis Ababa over the past 12 months?

Residential property prices in Addis Ababa have increased by 7-10% over the past year, with some prime areas experiencing annual growth of 10-15%.

This steady appreciation follows a more dramatic surge over the previous two years, during which housing prices tripled due to currency devaluation and rising construction costs. The July 2024 currency float, which saw the Ethiopian Birr devalue by over 100% against the US dollar, caused an immediate spike in ETB-denominated property prices as sellers adjusted for the weaker currency.

In the apartment segment, one-bedroom units showed the steepest increases with a 35% rise during 2023-2024, making them particularly attractive to young professionals and investors. Family-sized apartments and tech-equipped, energy-efficient units have also commanded premium prices, reflecting changing buyer preferences in the post-pandemic era.

The rapid price growth has been driven by multiple factors including inflation, which pushed construction material costs significantly higher, and increased demand from diaspora Ethiopians who view real estate as a hedge against currency risk. This has resulted in Addis Ababa now having Africa's highest price-to-income ratio at 56.0, surpassing other major cities like Algiers (23.3) and Nairobi (17.3).

Despite recent reports of a market slowdown in the luxury segment, overall price momentum remains positive as we move through 2025.

Which districts in Addis Ababa are experiencing the fastest property price growth?

Emerging districts like CMC, Summit, and Ayat are experiencing the fastest price appreciation in Addis Ababa, with growth rates of 15-25% over the past two years.

These areas are attracting significant attention from middle-income buyers and investors due to their relatively affordable entry points and rapid infrastructure development. Properties in these neighborhoods currently range from $800-$1,500 per square meter, offering substantial room for appreciation as urban expansion continues.

District/Neighborhood Price Range (USD/sqm) Growth Trend Key Characteristics
Bole $1,500-$2,000 5-10% annually Premium area, expatriate hub
Old Airport $1,200-$1,800 5-10% annually Established, high demand
Kazanchis $1,200-$1,800 5-10% annually Business district, NGO presence
CMC, Summit, Ayat $800-$1,500 15-25% over 2 years Emerging, rapid development
Yeka 57.5-80 million ETB High growth Luxury segment, vibrant
Lideta, Arada 11-22 million ETB Moderate growth More affordable options
Akaki Kality $600-$800 Steady growth Budget-friendly area

The government's master plan revision in 2023, which prioritized corridor development and infrastructure upgrades, has particularly benefited these emerging districts. New road projects, improved public transport connections, and zoning changes have made previously peripheral areas more accessible and attractive to buyers.

While established premium areas like Bole and Kazanchis maintain the highest absolute prices, their growth rates have stabilized at a more modest 5-10% annually, reflecting market maturity and limited new development opportunities in these densely built neighborhoods.

What types of properties are seeing the biggest price surges in 2025?

Tech-smart, energy-efficient apartments are experiencing the steepest price increases in Addis Ababa's property market as of June 2025.

These modern units, featuring smart home technology and energy-saving systems, cater to young professionals and tech workers who prioritize sustainability and connectivity. The one-bedroom segment within this category has been particularly hot, following its 35% price surge in 2023-2024, as it appeals to both owner-occupiers and investors seeking high rental yields.

Family-sized apartments with outdoor spaces represent another rapidly appreciating category. Properties featuring terraces, balconies, or gardens have become highly desirable in the post-pandemic era, commanding premium prices as buyers seek private outdoor areas within the dense urban environment. Suburban homes near quality schools and green spaces are also seeing increased demand from families, driving values up significantly.

In the commercial sector, properties in central business areas continue to show strong price growth. Office spaces in Bole and Kazanchis that cater to NGOs, multinationals, and diplomatic missions are particularly sought after, with rental rates and capital values rising steadily.

Conversely, the ultra-luxury villa segment is showing signs of oversupply, with developers reporting longer sales cycles and increasing inventories. This has created a more balanced market in the high-end segment, though prices remain elevated compared to historical levels.

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How do current property prices compare to 5 and 10 years ago?

Property prices in Addis Ababa have increased dramatically, with current values 3-5 times higher than a decade ago.

Five years ago in 2020, average residential prices in central areas ranged from $500-$700 per square meter, meaning today's prices of $1,500-$2,000 represent a doubling or tripling of values. This escalation far exceeds wage growth and general inflation, creating significant affordability challenges for local buyers.

Looking back ten years to 2015, when prices typically ranged from $300-$400 per square meter in many neighborhoods, the scale of appreciation becomes even more striking. Properties that sold for 5-10 million ETB a decade ago now command 50-100 million ETB or more, representing returns that have outpaced virtually all other investment classes in Ethiopia.

This rapid appreciation has been driven by multiple factors including population growth, urbanization, limited housing supply, and significant diaspora investment. The trend accelerated particularly after 2020, with the post-war recovery period and currency devaluation fears driving increased real estate investment.

The result is that Addis Ababa now has Africa's highest price-to-income ratio for property at 56.0, making homeownership increasingly difficult for average residents even as the market continues to attract investment capital.

What are the property price forecasts for Addis Ababa in 2026?

Property prices in Addis Ababa are projected to increase by 7-10% in 2026, continuing the current growth trajectory.

Analysts forecast that established areas like Bole, Old Airport, and Kazanchis will see steady annual appreciation of 5-10%, while emerging districts such as CMC, Summit, and Ayat could experience higher growth rates of 10-15%. This means a 2-bedroom apartment currently priced at 17.7 million ETB could reach 19-19.5 million ETB by the end of 2026.

Several factors support these bullish projections. The Ethiopian government's infrastructure investments, including road expansions and public transport improvements, will enhance connectivity and drive demand in newly accessible areas. Additionally, new laws allowing foreigners and companies to purchase property directly, expected to be fully implemented by 2025, will likely accelerate foreign investment and push prices higher.

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for Ethiopia's real estate sector is projected at 10% through 2028, with rental yields expected to remain strong at 10-12.7% in Addis Ababa. This combination of capital appreciation and rental income continues to make property an attractive investment despite high entry prices.

However, affordability will remain a critical challenge, with the price-to-income ratio likely to stay among Africa's highest unless housing supply dramatically increases to meet the annual demand of 486,000 units.

How has the 2024 currency devaluation affected property prices?

The July 2024 currency float caused an immediate spike in ETB-denominated property prices as the Birr devalued by over 100% against the US dollar.

When the exchange rate shifted from 1 USD = 57 ETB to 128 ETB, property sellers quickly adjusted their prices to maintain dollar values, effectively doubling ETB prices overnight. This dramatic change made real estate an even more attractive hedge against currency risk, particularly for diaspora Ethiopians and local investors seeking to preserve wealth.

The devaluation also drove up construction costs significantly, as imported materials like cement and steel became more expensive in local currency terms. These increased costs have been passed on to buyers, further inflating property prices and squeezing affordability for local purchasers who earn in Birr.

Many buyers, especially those from the diaspora with access to foreign currency, accelerated their property purchases following the devaluation, viewing real estate as one of the few reliable stores of value in the Ethiopian economy. This surge in demand has contributed to the 7-10% annual price increases observed over the past 12 months.

It's something we develop in our Ethiopia property pack.

infographics comparison property prices Addis Ababa

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Ethiopia compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It's an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What role do foreign investors and diaspora buyers play in current price trends?

Diaspora Ethiopians have become major drivers of Addis Ababa's property market, contributing to annual price increases of 10-15% in prime areas.

These overseas buyers, with access to foreign currency and higher incomes, view Ethiopian real estate as both a connection to their homeland and a hedge against currency volatility. Their purchasing power far exceeds that of local buyers, allowing them to compete effectively for premium properties in areas like Bole and Kazanchis.

Foreign investment is set to increase dramatically with new laws in 2025 allowing foreigners and companies to purchase property directly in Ethiopia. This regulatory change, actively promoted by the government through incentives and public-private partnerships, is expected to inject significant capital into the luxury and commercial sectors.

The impact of diaspora and foreign investment extends beyond just price increases. These buyers often prefer modern, well-equipped properties with international standards, driving developers to upgrade their offerings and pushing overall market quality higher. However, this has also contributed to the growing affordability gap for local residents.

Market experts predict that foreign and diaspora investment will continue to be a primary driver of price appreciation through 2030, particularly as Ethiopia positions itself as a regional business hub and continues to court international capital.

What is causing the supply-demand mismatch in Addis Ababa's property market?

Addis Ababa faces a severe housing shortage with annual demand of 486,000 units versus actual supply of only 165,000 units nationwide.

This massive deficit of over 140,000 units per year in the capital alone is driving prices higher as buyers compete for limited inventory. The supply gap is most acute in the affordable and mid-range housing segments, while the luxury and high-end markets are beginning to show signs of oversupply.

Market Segment Supply-Demand Status Impact on Prices
Affordable Housing Severe shortage Rapid price increases
Mid-Range Properties Significant deficit Strong upward pressure
Luxury Apartments Approaching balance Stabilizing prices
Ultra-Luxury Villas Oversupply emerging Slower appreciation
Commercial Spaces Tight supply in prime areas Rising rents and values

Several factors contribute to this mismatch. Rapid urbanization continues to draw rural populations to Addis Ababa, with projections indicating the urban population could triple by 2037. Construction cannot keep pace due to limited land availability, complex permitting processes, and rising material costs.

Government housing programs, while ambitious, have fallen short of targets. Long waiting lists for condominium developments and the focus on higher-margin luxury projects by private developers have left middle and lower-income residents with few options, perpetuating the supply crisis and supporting continued price growth.

How does Addis Ababa compare to other major African cities in terms of property prices?

Addis Ababa ranks as Africa's most expensive city by price-to-income ratio and among the top three for absolute property prices as of June 2025.

With prime properties commanding $1,500-$2,000 per square meter and a price-to-income ratio of 56.0, Addis Ababa has surpassed traditionally expensive markets like Cape Town and Johannesburg. This places extraordinary pressure on local buyers, who must save for decades to afford even modest properties.

1. Addis Ababa: $1,500-$2,000/sqm (prime areas), Price-to-Income Ratio: 56.0

2. Algiers: ~$1,000/sqm, Price-to-Income Ratio: 23.3

3. Nairobi: $800-$1,200/sqm, Price-to-Income Ratio: 17.3

4. Cairo: $600-$1,000/sqm, Price-to-Income Ratio: 17.6

5. Cape Town: $1,000-$1,500/sqm, Price-to-Income Ratio: 5.3

Despite having lower absolute prices than some developed African markets, Addis Ababa's extremely high price-to-income ratio reflects the disconnect between property values and local earning power. This metric highlights the market's dependence on diaspora and foreign investment rather than domestic demand.

It's something we develop in our Ethiopia property pack.

What are experts predicting for Addis Ababa's property market through 2030?

Experts project a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% for Addis Ababa's real estate sector through 2030.

This bullish outlook is supported by multiple factors including sustained population growth, ongoing urbanization, and continued diaspora investment. Rental yields are expected to remain attractive at 10-12.7%, particularly in emerging neighborhoods where supply constraints are most acute.

Infrastructure development will play a crucial role in shaping market dynamics. The completion of major road projects like the ERA-Siyo-Shenen-Guder Road and expanded public transport networks will open new areas for development, potentially moderating prices in established districts while driving appreciation in newly accessible locations.

However, challenges remain significant. The price-to-income ratio is likely to stay among Africa's highest unless housing supply dramatically increases. Analysts warn that without policy interventions to boost affordable housing construction, the market could become increasingly disconnected from local purchasing power.

Long-term projections to 2045 suggest Addis Ababa will remain among Africa's most expensive property markets, with persistent supply-demand mismatches and ongoing urban expansion maintaining upward pressure on prices despite potential economic and political uncertainties.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. The Africanvestor - Addis Ababa Price Forecasts
  2. Addis Insight - Real Estate Slowdown Analysis
  3. Ethiopia Property Centre - Average Prices Report
  4. Addis Standard - New Real Estate Bill Analysis
  5. The Africanvestor - Ethiopia Real Estate Forecasts
  6. The Africanvestor - Ethiopia Real Estate Trends
  7. Ethiopian Business Review - Property Price Analysis
  8. The Africanvestor - Addis Ababa Real Estate Market