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Lagos property prices: going up or down fast?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Nigeria Property Pack

property investment Lagos

Yes, the analysis of Lagos' property market is included in our pack

Lagos property prices are experiencing extraordinary growth, with apartments ranging from ₦200,000 per square meter in emerging areas to over ₦1 million in premium neighborhoods. Property prices surged by 39.5% in 2024 and continued rising 5-15% year-to-date in 2025, making Lagos one of Nigeria's most dynamic real estate markets.

The Lagos residential market faces unprecedented demand that far exceeds supply, with a housing deficit of 3.4 million units as of September 2025. Prime areas like Ikoyi and Victoria Island command the highest prices, while emerging neighborhoods like Ibeju-Lekki and Epe show the fastest appreciation rates.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Nigeria, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At The AfricanVestor, we explore the Nigerian real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Lagos, Abuja, and Port Harcourt. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What's the current average price per square meter for apartments and houses in Lagos, broken down by area?

As of September 2025, Lagos apartment prices range dramatically from ₦200,000 per square meter in emerging areas to over ₦1 million in premium neighborhoods.

Premium locations like Ikoyi, Victoria Island, and Banana Island command the highest prices, with apartments typically selling for ₦1 million or more per square meter. Detached houses in these luxury areas average between ₦1.4 million to ₦1.6 million per square meter.

Mid-market areas including Lekki Phase 1, Magodo, and Ikeja GRA show apartment prices between ₦800,000 to ₦1.5 million per square meter, while houses in these neighborhoods range from ₦900,000 to ₦1.2 million per square meter. Secondary districts like Yaba and Surulere offer more affordable options at ₦400,000 to ₦600,000 per square meter for apartments.

Emerging areas such as Ibeju-Lekki, Epe, and Ikorodu present the most accessible entry points, with prices starting from ₦200,000 to ₦400,000 per square meter. These areas are experiencing rapid development and infrastructure improvements.

It's something we develop in our Nigeria property pack.

How have Lagos property prices changed over the past 12 months compared to the previous 12 months?

Lagos property prices experienced extraordinary growth in 2024, surging by 39.5% compared to the historical annual average of 8-10% in previous years.

This represents a nearly four-fold increase in price appreciation compared to typical growth patterns. The 2024 surge was driven by multiple factors including rapid urbanization, naira depreciation, increased construction costs, and strong demand from both local and diaspora buyers.

In 2025, year-to-date growth has moderated but remains substantial at 5-15%, which is still significantly higher than pre-2024 levels. This continued growth indicates that while the most dramatic price increases may have occurred in 2024, upward pressure on Lagos property prices persists.

The contrast is particularly striking when comparing 2024's 39.5% growth to the steady 8-10% annual appreciation that characterized the Lagos market in previous years. This acceleration reflects the market's response to economic pressures and fundamental supply-demand imbalances.

Which neighborhoods in Lagos are currently experiencing the fastest price growth and which are seeing declines?

Ibeju-Lekki and Epe are experiencing the most dramatic price appreciation, with land prices increasing by over 60% annually as of September 2025.

These emerging areas benefit from ongoing infrastructure development, including the Lekki Deep Sea Port and improved road networks. Secondary growth areas like Yaba and Surulere are seeing solid appreciation of 10-15% annually, driven by their proximity to business districts and improving connectivity.

Mid-market neighborhoods including Lekki Phase 1 continue to show strong performance with 10-15% annual appreciation. These areas attract both investors and owner-occupiers due to their established infrastructure and lifestyle amenities.

Established premium areas like Ikoyi, Victoria Island, and Banana Island show more moderate but steady growth of 5-8% annually. While this represents slower appreciation, these areas maintain their premium status and continue to attract high-net-worth buyers.

No major neighborhoods are experiencing significant price declines. However, some affordable areas like Ikorodu, Badagry, and Egbeda show steady but not dramatic price increases, making them attractive for first-time buyers seeking value.

What's the level of demand versus supply for new residential developments in Lagos right now?

Demand for new residential properties in Lagos significantly exceeds supply, creating a massive housing deficit of approximately 3.4 million units as of September 2025.

This imbalance drives strong competition among buyers, particularly for affordable and mid-market units. New developments in popular areas often sell out quickly, sometimes before construction completion. The rapid urbanization of Lagos, with thousands of people moving to the city monthly, continues to fuel this demand.

Housing supply has improved compared to previous years, but the pace of new construction cannot keep up with population growth and housing needs. Most new developments concentrate in areas like Lekki, Ibeju-Lekki, and Epe, while affordable housing projects remain limited.

The supply shortage is most acute in the affordable housing segment, where government and private sector efforts have not met the scale of demand. Mid-market and luxury segments see more active development but still face supply constraints relative to buyer interest.

How many property transactions were recorded in Lagos over the past three months, and is that figure rising or falling?

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While exact quarterly transaction figures for Lagos are not readily available in public records, market indicators show rising transaction volumes over the past three months.

Real estate professionals report high activity levels, with mid-market segments and affordable new builds experiencing particularly strong sales velocity. Properties in growth corridors like Lekki and emerging areas like Ibeju-Lekki are selling quickly, often within weeks of being listed.

The transaction trend appears to be rising based on market feedback from real estate agents and developers. New developments are achieving faster sales cycles compared to the same period in 2024, indicating sustained buyer interest despite higher prices.

Online property platforms and real estate agencies report increased inquiries and site visits, suggesting continued momentum in transaction activity. The combination of diaspora investment, local demand, and foreign investor interest maintains strong market liquidity.

What's the current average rental yield in Lagos, and how does it compare with mortgage interest rates?

Lagos rental yields average 6-8% as of September 2025, with slightly higher returns in mid-market and growth areas, while luxury properties typically yield around 5-5.5%.

These yields compare unfavorably to current mortgage interest rates, which range from 20-28% annually, with the benchmark rate at 27.5%. This massive gap between rental yields and borrowing costs creates significant affordability challenges for buyers seeking financing.

The yield-to-interest rate mismatch means that rental income alone cannot service typical mortgage payments, requiring substantial cash investment or alternative financing strategies. This situation particularly affects middle-income buyers who might rely on rental income to support property investments.

For cash buyers or those with access to alternative financing, the 6-8% rental yields remain attractive compared to many other investment options in Nigeria. However, the high cost of borrowing effectively limits the pool of financed buyers in the Lagos market.

It's something we develop in our Nigeria property pack.

How has the exchange rate of the naira against the dollar impacted property prices in Lagos recently?

Naira depreciation against the dollar has been a major driver of sharp property price increases in Lagos, particularly affecting construction costs and developer expenses.

The weakening naira significantly impacts imported construction materials, including steel, cement additives, fixtures, and finishing materials. These cost increases are passed directly to property buyers through higher asking prices for both new and existing properties.

Developers pricing their projects in dollar terms or using dollar-linked cost structures have raised naira prices proportionally to currency depreciation. This creates an inflationary spiral where property prices increase faster than general inflation rates.

The currency situation also attracts diaspora and foreign buyers who benefit from favorable exchange rates when converting foreign currency to naira. This increased purchasing power from external buyers adds upward pressure on property prices, particularly in premium and mid-market segments.

What government policies, taxes, or regulations introduced in the past year are influencing Lagos property prices?

Recent policy changes include enhanced title verification processes, streamlined e-Governor's Consent procedures, and continued 0.75-1% stamp duty on residential property transfers.

Lagos State has implemented stricter development controls in prime areas, requiring more comprehensive environmental and infrastructure impact assessments. These regulations can slow project approvals but aim to ensure sustainable development standards.

The government has maintained existing property tax structures without major increases, though enforcement of existing tax obligations has become more stringent. Enhanced digital systems now track property ownership and transactions more effectively.

New regulations focus on title verification and due diligence requirements, making property transactions more secure but potentially extending processing times. These changes aim to reduce fraud and improve investor confidence in the Lagos property market.

infographics rental yields citiesLagos

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Nigeria versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

How are construction material costs and inflation affecting the pricing of new builds in Lagos?

Construction material costs have doubled between 2023 and 2024, with cement prices rising from ₦4,000 to ₦8,800 per bag, dramatically impacting new build pricing.

Steel, electrical fittings, and finishing materials have experienced similar price increases, driven by inflation above 32% and naira weakness against major currencies. These cost pressures force developers to raise project prices substantially or delay construction starts.

The combination of material cost inflation and general economic inflation creates compounding effects on new build pricing. Developers must factor in not only current material costs but also anticipated price increases throughout construction periods.

Many developers now implement price escalation clauses in sales contracts or require larger upfront payments to mitigate cost increase risks. This shifts financial risk to buyers and can make new builds less accessible to budget-conscious purchasers.

What role are foreign investors and diaspora Nigerians currently playing in Lagos real estate demand?

Foreign investors and diaspora Nigerians are major drivers of Lagos real estate demand, particularly active in Lekki, Ikoyi, and Victoria Island luxury segments.

Diaspora investment has become a significant force in both mid-market properties and short-let rental segments. Many diaspora buyers purchase properties for eventual relocation or as rental investments, benefiting from favorable naira exchange rates.

Foreign investors, including institutional buyers, are increasingly interested in Lagos commercial and high-end residential properties. Their dollar or other hard currency purchasing power allows them to compete effectively in premium market segments.

This external demand contributes to sustained price pressure, especially in areas popular with international buyers. The combination of diaspora sentiment, favorable exchange rates, and Lagos's economic importance attracts continued foreign investment interest.

It's something we develop in our Nigeria property pack.

What's the forecasted pipeline of new housing supply in Lagos over the next two years?

Forecasts suggest up to 250,000 new units per year over the next two years, but this supply remains insufficient to close the current 3.4 million unit deficit.

Most new projects concentrate in Lekki, Ibeju-Lekki, and Epe, with limited large-scale affordable housing developments. The pipeline includes both private developments and government-supported housing schemes, though private sector projects dominate.

Major infrastructure projects, including the Lekki Deep Sea Port and improved road networks, are expected to accelerate development in emerging areas. However, construction material costs and financing challenges may slow some planned projects.

The supply pipeline shows emphasis on mid-market and luxury segments, with affordable housing remaining underrepresented relative to demand. This imbalance suggests continued upward pressure on prices across all market segments.

How do Lagos property price trends compare with other Nigerian cities like Abuja and Port Harcourt right now?

City 2024 Price Growth Average Rental Yield Price Range (₦/sqm)
Lagos 39.5% 6-8% ₦200k-₦1M+
Abuja 30-32% 5% ₦600k-₦1.3M
Port Harcourt 28-30% 4-5% ₦550k-₦1.2M
Kano 25-27% 4-6% ₦300k-₦800k
Ibadan 22-25% 5-7% ₦250k-₦700k

Lagos leads Nigerian cities in both price appreciation and absolute price levels, with 39.5% growth in 2024 compared to 30-32% in Abuja and 28-30% in Port Harcourt.

Abuja maintains strong price growth driven by its status as the federal capital and continued government investment. Port Harcourt shows similar growth patterns to Abuja but with generally lower average prices across comparable property types.

Lagos offers the highest rental yields at 6-8% compared to 5% in Abuja and 4-5% in Port Harcourt, reflecting strong rental demand in the commercial capital. However, Lagos also commands the highest entry prices, making initial investment requirements substantially higher.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. BambooRoutes - Average Price per Square Meter Lagos Nigeria
  2. The AfricanVestor - Average House Price Nigeria
  3. Properstar - Nigeria House Prices
  4. The AfricanVestor - Lagos Nigeria Price Forecasts
  5. The AfricanVestor - Lagos Nigeria Property
  6. Punch Newspapers - Lagos Housing Deficit Report
  7. ThisDay Live - Lagos Housing Deficit and Price Rise
  8. BambooRoutes - Real Estate Market Trends Nigeria